Group Knockout · Round of 32

England vs DR Congo

Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM · Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 59%

England71.8%

Model baseline 71.8%

Draw16.9%

Model baseline 16.9%

DR Congo11.3%

Model baseline 11.3%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewEngland 71.8%Draw 16.9%DR Congo 11.3%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Missing

No usable probability returned.

As of: Unavailable
Reliability: 0%
Issue: No matching Polymarket event found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG England2.56xG DR Congo0.95

2-09.8%

2-19.3%

3-08.4%

3-18.0%

1-17.7%

1-07.2%

4-05.4%

4-15.1%

2-24.4%

3-23.8%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Round of 32 · Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM · Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta.

Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM · reliability 92%

Social

England booed at World Cup after falling behind to DR Congo in last 32 - Yahoo Sports

Unverified social/media report: England booed at World Cup after falling behind to DR Congo in last 32    Yahoo Sports

Jul 1, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Injury

Thomas Tuchel issues Kobbie Mainoo injury update after missing England World Cup win vs France - Metro.co.uk

Thomas Tuchel issues Kobbie Mainoo injury update after missing England World Cup win vs France    Metro.co.uk

Jul 19, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

France vs England Expert Picks, Lineups & Injury News - Sports probability Dime

France vs England Expert Picks, Lineups & Injury News    Sports probability Dime

Jul 18, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 66%

England vs DR Congo

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Crowd-implied probability signal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

England booed at World Cup after falling behind to DR Congo in last 32 - Yahoo Sports

Thomas Tuchel issues Kobbie Mainoo injury update after missing England World Cup win vs France - Metro.co.uk

France vs England Expert Picks, Lineups & Injury News - Sports probability Dime

England XI vs France: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup bronze final today - Yahoo Sports UK

France XI vs England: Predicted lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup bronze final today - Yahoo Sports UK

Team News: France vs. England injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

France lineup vs. England: Predicted XI for World Cup third-placed playoff after William Saliba injury blow - Sports Mole

England lineup vs. France: Predicted XI for World Cup 2026 third-placed playoff after Reece James injury blow - Sports Mole

Argentina XI vs England: Starting lineup, confirmed team news and injury latest for World Cup 2026 - Yahoo Sports Australia

England XI vs Argentina: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup semi-final today - Yahoo Sports UK