Group Knockout · Round of 32

South Africa vs Canada

Jun 28, 2026, 7:00 PM · Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Low confidence · 45%

South Africa35.1%

Model baseline 35.1%

Draw26.6%

Model baseline 26.6%

Canada38.3%

Model baseline 38.3%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewSouth Africa 35.1%Draw 26.6%Canada 38.3%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Missing

No usable probability returned.

As of: Unavailable
Reliability: 0%
Issue: No matching Polymarket event found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG South Africa1.38xG Canada1.45

1-112.5%

1-28.6%

2-18.1%

0-17.9%

1-07.5%

0-06.7%

0-26.2%

2-25.9%

2-05.6%

1-34.1%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Round of 32 · Jun 28, 2026, 7:00 PM · Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles.

Jun 28, 2026, 7:00 PM · reliability 92%

Social

Police in South Africa open probe into post-World Cup death of Jayden Adams - Al Jazeera

Unverified social/media report: Police in South Africa open probe into post-World Cup death of Jayden Adams    Al Jazeera

Jul 13, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Social

Canada not allowing injury trouble to derail momentum - Sportsnet.ca

Unverified social/media report: Canada not allowing injury trouble to derail momentum    Sportsnet.ca

Jun 22, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Social

Historic win puts Canada on verge of advancing at FIFA World Cup - Canada Soccer Pressroom

Unverified social/media report: Historic win puts Canada on verge of advancing at FIFA World Cup    Canada Soccer Pressroom

Jun 19, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Injury

South Africa vs Canada

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Crowd-implied probability signal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Police in South Africa open probe into post-World Cup death of Jayden Adams - Al Jazeera

Canada not allowing injury trouble to derail momentum - Sportsnet.ca

Historic win puts Canada on verge of advancing at FIFA World Cup - Canada Soccer Pressroom

Nations Championship: Wales suffer Josh Adams injury blow in South Africa - BBC

Davies says lingering hamstring injury kept him out of Canada’s World Cup finale - EverythingGP

Is Alphonso Davies Playing Today? Check Canada vs Morocco Prediction, Team News, Injury Update, Confirmed Starting Lineups And More About The FIFA World Cup Pre-Quarterfinal - The Sunday Guardian

Team News: Canada vs. Morocco injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Morocco lineup vs. Canada: Predicted XI for World Cup 2026 last 16 after Chadi Riad injury update - Sports Mole

South Africa vs Canada lineups: Starting XIs, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup 2026 today - Yahoo Sports Australia