Group Knockout · Quarter-final

Argentina vs Switzerland

Jul 12, 2026, 2:00 AM · Kansas City Stadium, Kansas City

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 48%

Argentina43.8%

Model baseline 43.8%

Draw25.3%

Model baseline 25.3%

Switzerland30.8%

Model baseline 30.8%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewArgentina 43.8%Draw 25.3%Switzerland 30.8%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Missing

No usable probability returned.

As of: Unavailable
Reliability: 0%
Issue: No matching Polymarket event found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Argentina1.65xG Switzerland1.35

1-111.8%

2-19.1%

1-07.5%

1-27.5%

2-06.8%

2-26.2%

0-16.1%

0-05.6%

3-15.0%

0-24.5%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Quarter-final · Jul 12, 2026, 2:00 AM · Kansas City Stadium, Kansas City.

Jul 12, 2026, 2:00 AM · reliability 92%

Social

🔥 Argentina 3-1 Switzerland | FULL MATCH HIGHLIGHTS | Mac Allister, Álvarez, Lautaro Goals ⚽🇦🇷 Reggie Miller (QxxiRrGqqL) - Mshale

Unverified social/media report: 🔥 Argentina 3-1 Switzerland | FULL MATCH HIGHLIGHTS | Mac Allister, Álvarez, Lautaro Goals ⚽🇦🇷 Reggie Miller (QxxiRrGqqL)    Mshale

Aug 25, 2026, 5:48 AM · reliability 38%

Social

Argentina’s Nicolas Paz provides injury update amid rumors of roster change before 2026 World Cup - bolavip.com

Unverified social/media report: Argentina’s Nicolas Paz provides injury update amid rumors of roster change before 2026 World Cup    bolavip.com

Jun 3, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Injury

Spain XI vs Argentina: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup final - Yahoo Sports

Spain XI vs Argentina: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup final    Yahoo Sports

Argentina vs Switzerland

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Crowd-implied probability signal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

🔥 Argentina 3-1 Switzerland | FULL MATCH HIGHLIGHTS | Mac Allister, Álvarez, Lautaro Goals ⚽🇦🇷 Reggie Miller (QxxiRrGqqL) - Mshale

Argentina’s Nicolas Paz provides injury update amid rumors of roster change before 2026 World Cup - bolavip.com

Spain XI vs Argentina: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup final - Yahoo Sports

Spain XI vs Argentina: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup, injury latest for World Cup final - AOL.com

Team News: Spain vs. Argentina injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Argentina injury, suspension list and return dates for World Cup 2026 final: Cristian Romero, Leandro Paredes latest - Sports Mole

Spain lineup vs. Argentina: Predicted XI for World Cup 2026 final after Lamine Yamal injury scare - Sports Mole

Argentina XI vs England: Starting lineup, confirmed team news and injury latest for World Cup 2026 - Yahoo Sports Australia

England XI vs Argentina: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup semi-final today - Yahoo Sports UK

Team News: England vs. Argentina injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole