Group H · Group stage

Uruguay vs Cape Verde

Jun 21, 2026, 10:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 59%

Uruguay65.2%

Model baseline 65.2%

Draw19.8%

Model baseline 19.8%

Cape Verde15.1%

Model baseline 15.1%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewUruguay 65.2%Draw 19.8%Cape Verde 15.1%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Polymarket

Uruguay vs. Spain

Fresh

Polymarket outcome pricesUruguay15.5%Draw26.5%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 2:55 PM
Reliability: 38%
Issue: Matched Polymarket event, but no complete win/draw/loss moneyline markets were found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Uruguay2.28xG Cape Verde1.02

2-19.8%

2-09.6%

1-19.1%

1-07.9%

3-17.4%

3-07.3%

2-25.0%

1-24.4%

4-14.3%

0-04.2%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 21, 2026, 10:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens.

Jun 21, 2026, 10:00 PM · reliability 92%

Injury

Team News: Uruguay vs. Spain injury, suspension list, predicted XIs - Sports Mole

Team News: Uruguay vs. Spain injury, suspension list, predicted XIs    Sports Mole

Jun 26, 2026, 12:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Uruguay lineup vs. Spain: Predicted XI for 2026 World Cup fixture including double injury blow - Sports Mole

Uruguay lineup vs. Spain: Predicted XI for 2026 World Cup fixture including double injury blow    Sports Mole

Jun 24, 2026, 6:49 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Uruguay Faces Cape Verde in Crucial World Cup Match Amid Injuries - Akses.co.id

Uruguay Faces Cape Verde in Crucial World Cup Match Amid Injuries    Akses.co.id

Jun 21, 2026, 10:20 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Uruguay vs Cape Verde

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Uruguay vs. Spain

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Team News: Uruguay vs. Spain injury, suspension list, predicted XIs - Sports Mole

Uruguay lineup vs. Spain: Predicted XI for 2026 World Cup fixture including double injury blow - Sports Mole

Uruguay Faces Cape Verde in Crucial World Cup Match Amid Injuries - Akses.co.id

Team News: Uruguay vs. Cape Verde injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Uruguay lineup vs. Cape Verde: Predicted XI for World Cup 2026 Group H game amid Ronald Araujo injury fears - Sports Mole

Team News: Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay injury, suspension list, predicted XIs - Sports Mole

Madueke joins Arsenal injury list after being forced off in England's friendly against Uruguay - Pulse Sports Nigeria

England 1 Uruguay 1 – Tuchel experiments, untimely injuries and White’s evening of extremes - The New York Times