Group F · Group stage

Tunisia vs Netherlands

Jun 25, 2026, 11:00 PM · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 50%

Tunisia25.8%

Model baseline 25.8%

Draw24.7%

Model baseline 24.7%

Netherlands49.5%

Model baseline 49.5%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewTunisia 25.8%Draw 24.7%Netherlands 49.5%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Missing

No usable probability returned.

As of: Unavailable
Reliability: 0%
Issue: No matching Polymarket event found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Tunisia1.22xG Netherlands1.77

1-111.5%

1-29.6%

0-18.2%

0-27.9%

2-16.6%

2-25.9%

0-05.7%

1-35.7%

1-05.5%

0-34.6%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 25, 2026, 11:00 PM · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.

Jun 25, 2026, 11:00 PM · reliability 92%

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