Group F · Group stage

Tunisia vs Netherlands

Jun 25, 2026, 11:00 PM · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 55%

Tunisia19.6%

Model baseline 19.6%

Draw22.9%

Model baseline 22.9%

Netherlands57.5%

Model baseline 57.5%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewTunisia 19.6%Draw 22.9%Netherlands 57.5%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Missing

No usable probability returned.

As of: Unavailable
Reliability: 0%
Issue: No matching Polymarket event found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Tunisia1.06xG Netherlands1.96

1-110.8%

1-29.9%

0-29.3%

0-18.9%

1-36.5%

0-36.1%

0-05.5%

2-15.4%

2-25.3%

1-04.6%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 25, 2026, 11:00 PM · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.

Jun 25, 2026, 11:00 PM · reliability 92%

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