Group C · Group stage

Scotland vs Morocco

Jun 19, 2026, 10:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 48%

Scotland22.2%

Model baseline 22.2%

Draw24.8%

Model baseline 24.8%

Morocco53.0%

Model baseline 53.0%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewScotland 22.2%Draw 24.8%Morocco 53.0%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Missing

No usable probability returned.

As of: Unavailable
Reliability: 0%
Issue: No matching Polymarket event found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Scotland1.07xG Morocco1.76

1-111.8%

1-29.8%

0-19.7%

0-29.2%

0-06.6%

2-15.9%

1-35.7%

1-05.6%

0-35.4%

2-25.2%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 19, 2026, 10:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia.

Jun 19, 2026, 10:00 PM · reliability 92%

Social

Hakimi booed in Boston as Morocco all but guaranteed World Cup knockouts - The New York Times

Unverified social/media report: Hakimi booed in Boston as Morocco all but guaranteed World Cup knockouts    The New York Times

Jun 30, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Social

Morocco captain Achraf Hakimi booed by Scotland fans on day he is ordered to stand trial on rape charges - The Athletic - The New York Times

Unverified social/media report: Morocco captain Achraf Hakimi booed by Scotland fans on day he is ordered to stand trial on rape charges - The Athletic    The New York Times

Jun 25, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Social

Why Scotland fans booed Morocco & PSG star Achraf Hakimi during World Cup loss - Goal.com

Unverified social/media report: Why Scotland fans booed Morocco & PSG star Achraf Hakimi during World Cup loss    Goal.com

Jun 21, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Social

FIFA hit by referee protest, Roy Keane ends Scotland row, huge bust-up - World Cup round-up - The Mirror

Model Snapshot

Analysis generated: Aug 27, 2026, 7:03 PM
Version: wc26-knowledge-seed-poisson-dc-0.2.0
Last updated: Aug 27, 2026, 7:03 PM
Fixture status: Final

Team Notes

SocialUnverified social/media report: FIFA hit by referee protest, Roy Keane ends Scotland row, huge bust-up - World Cup round-up    The Mirror
SocialUnverified social/media report: World Cup 2026: Scotland's Boston love affair one for the ages    BBC
SocialUnverified social/media report: Scotland vs Morocco predictions: Tight affair expected in Boston    LiveScore
SocialUnverified social/media report: Hakimi booed in Boston as Morocco all but guaranteed World Cup knockouts    The New York Times
SocialUnverified social/media report: Morocco captain Achraf Hakimi booed by Scotland fans on day he is ordered to stand trial on rape charges - The Athletic    The New York Times
SocialUnverified social/media report: Morocco captain Achraf Hakimi booed by Scotland fans on day he is ordered to stand trial on rape charges - The Athletic    The New York Times

This product provides statistical analysis for informational and research purposes only. It does not enable transactions, prizes, or financial instructions.

Scotland vs Morocco

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Crowd-implied probability signal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Hakimi booed in Boston as Morocco all but guaranteed World Cup knockouts - The New York Times

Morocco captain Achraf Hakimi booed by Scotland fans on day he is ordered to stand trial on rape charges - The Athletic - The New York Times

Why Scotland fans booed Morocco & PSG star Achraf Hakimi during World Cup loss - Goal.com

FIFA hit by referee protest, Roy Keane ends Scotland row, huge bust-up - World Cup round-up - The Mirror

World Cup 2026: Scotland's Boston love affair one for the ages - BBC

Scotland vs Morocco predictions: Tight affair expected in Boston - LiveScore

France vs Morocco Team News, Predicted Lineup, Injuries For World Cup Quarterfinal - Sportscasting

Is Ismael Saibari playing for Morocco vs. France today? Latest injury and lineup updates - USA Today

Morocco XI vs France: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup quarter-final today - Yahoo Sports UK