Group L · Group stage

Panama vs England

Jun 27, 2026, 9:00 PM · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 56%

Panama14.6%

Model baseline 17.8%

Draw19.6%

Model baseline 22.5%

England65.8%

Model baseline 59.8%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewPanama 14.6%Draw 19.6%England 65.8%

Market-implied viewPanama 4.5%Draw 10.6%England 84.9%

Polymarket

Panama vs. England

Fresh

Market-implied viewPanama 4.5%Draw 10.6%England 84.9%

Polymarket outcome pricesPanama4.5%Draw10.5%England84.5%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 2:55 PM
Reliability: 82%

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Panama1.00xG England1.99

0-211.0%

1-211.0%

0-110.4%

1-19.3%

0-37.3%

1-37.3%

0-04.9%

2-24.3%

2-14.1%

1-03.6%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 27, 2026, 9:00 PM · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.

Jun 27, 2026, 9:00 PM · reliability 92%

Social

England's opponents sent home from World Cup overnight after FIFA rule change - Wales Online

Unverified social/media report: England's opponents sent home from World Cup overnight after FIFA rule change    Wales Online

Jun 24, 2026, 8:33 AM · reliability 38%

Injury

England XI vs Panama: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup, injury latest for World Cup - London Evening Standard

England XI vs Panama: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup, injury latest for World Cup    London Evening Standard

Jun 26, 2026, 12:48 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

England predicted line-up vs Panama: four changes amid injury fears - 3 Added Minutes

England predicted line-up vs Panama: four changes amid injury fears    3 Added Minutes