Group G · Group stage

New Zealand vs Belgium

Jun 27, 2026, 3:00 AM · BC Place, Vancouver

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 60%

New Zealand12.2%

Model baseline 12.2%

Draw18.0%

Model baseline 18.0%

Belgium69.9%

Model baseline 69.9%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewNew Zealand 12.2%Draw 18.0%Belgium 69.9%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Missing

No usable probability returned.

As of: Unavailable
Reliability: 0%
Issue: No matching Polymarket event found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG New Zealand0.94xG Belgium2.44

0-210.1%

1-29.5%

1-18.3%

0-38.3%

0-17.9%

1-37.8%

0-45.0%

1-44.7%

2-24.5%

0-03.9%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 27, 2026, 3:00 AM · BC Place, Vancouver.

Jun 27, 2026, 3:00 AM · reliability 92%

Injury

Is Pedri injured? Why the Spain star is not playing against Belgium in today's World Cup match | Hindustan Times - Hindustan Times

Is Pedri injured? Why the Spain star is not playing against Belgium in today's World Cup match | Hindustan Times    Hindustan Times

Jul 11, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Belgium's Courtois exits with injury before Spain winner - ESPN

Belgium's Courtois exits with injury before Spain winner    ESPN

Jul 10, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Belgium Captain Youri Tielemans Out vs. Spain After Injury In Warmups - FOX Sports

Belgium Captain Youri Tielemans Out vs. Spain After Injury In Warmups    FOX Sports

New Zealand vs Belgium

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Crowd-implied probability signal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Is Pedri injured? Why the Spain star is not playing against Belgium in today's World Cup match | Hindustan Times - Hindustan Times

Belgium's Courtois exits with injury before Spain winner - ESPN

Belgium Captain Youri Tielemans Out vs. Spain After Injury In Warmups - FOX Sports

Belgium XI vs Spain: DE BRUYNE IN - Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup 2026 today - Yahoo Sports UK

Team News: Spain vs. Belgium injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Belgium vs USA lineups: Confirmed team news, predicted XIs and injury latest for World Cup 2026 - London Evening Standard

Team News: USA vs. Belgium injury, suspension list, predicted XIs - Sports Mole

Belgium XI vs Senegal: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup, injury latest for World Cup 2026 - AOL.co.uk

Team News: Belgium vs. Senegal injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Team News: New Zealand vs. Belgium injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole