Group I · Group stage

Norway vs Senegal

Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 50%

Norway36.6%

Model baseline 25.2%

Draw23.0%

Model baseline 25.3%

Senegal40.4%

Model baseline 49.5%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewNorway 36.6%Draw 23.0%Senegal 40.4%

Market-implied viewNorway 72.6%Draw 15.7%Senegal 11.7%

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Fresh

Market-implied viewNorway 72.6%Draw 15.7%Senegal 11.7%

Crowd-implied outcomesNorway71.5%Draw15.5%Senegal11.5%

As of: Aug 27, 2026, 7:03 PM
Reliability: 82%

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Norway1.15xG Senegal1.70

1-110.9%

2-19.5%

1-08.7%

1-27.8%

0-17.5%

0-26.8%

0-05.9%

2-05.6%

2-25.0%

1-34.4%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.

Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM · reliability 92%

Injury

England XI vs Norway: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup quarter-final - Yahoo Sports UK

England XI vs Norway: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup quarter-final    Yahoo Sports UK

Jul 11, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Norway vs England Preview: Team News, Injury Updates, Full Squads For FIFA World Cup 2026 Quarter Final - The Sunday Guardian

Norway vs England Preview: Team News, Injury Updates, Full Squads For FIFA World Cup 2026 Quarter Final    The Sunday Guardian

Jul 11, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

England Faces Defensive Injury Concerns Ahead of Norway Quarterfinal - Daily Beirut

England Faces Defensive Injury Concerns Ahead of Norway Quarterfinal    Daily Beirut

Norway vs Senegal

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Crowd-implied probability signal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

England XI vs Norway: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup quarter-final - Yahoo Sports UK

Norway vs England Preview: Team News, Injury Updates, Full Squads For FIFA World Cup 2026 Quarter Final - The Sunday Guardian

England Faces Defensive Injury Concerns Ahead of Norway Quarterfinal - Daily Beirut

Team News: Norway vs. England injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

England injury suspension list and return dates for Norway World Cup clash: Declan Rice, Marc Guehi, Reece James, Jarell Quansah, Jordan Henderson - Sports Mole

Brazil vs Norway team news, injuries and predicted lineups - Squawka

Is Neymar playing today for Brazil? Injuries open the door for possible start vs. Norway - FanSided

Brazil projected 11 vs. Norway with Raphinha and Paqueta ruled out - USA Today

Brazil lineup vs. Norway: Predicted XI for World Cup 2026 clash after Casemiro injury scare and Lucas Paqueta blow - Sports Mole

Team News: Brazil vs. Norway injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole