Group I · Group stage

Norway vs France

Jun 26, 2026, 7:00 PM · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 72%

Norway21.8%

Model baseline 22.8%

Draw22.5%

Model baseline 24.0%

France55.6%

Model baseline 53.3%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewNorway 21.8%Draw 22.5%France 55.6%

Market-implied viewNorway 20.4%Draw 20.4%France 59.2%

Polymarket

Norway vs. France

Fresh

Market-implied viewNorway 20.4%Draw 20.4%France 59.2%

Polymarket outcome pricesNorway20.5%Draw20.5%France59.5%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 12:10 PM
Reliability: 82%

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Norway1.15xG France1.86

1-110.5%

1-210.2%

0-19.0%

0-28.9%

1-36.3%

2-15.8%

0-35.5%

2-25.3%

0-05.3%

1-04.9%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 26, 2026, 7:00 PM · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough.

Jun 26, 2026, 7:00 PM · reliability 92%

Social

PSG slammed for interfering in France national team affairs following Ousmane Dembele injury - Tribuna.com

Unverified social/media report: PSG slammed for interfering in France national team affairs following Ousmane Dembele injury    Tribuna.com

Sep 9, 2025, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Injury

Team News: Norway vs. France injury, suspension list, predicted XIs ahead of World Cup clash - Sports Mole

Team News: Norway vs. France injury, suspension list, predicted XIs ahead of World Cup clash    Sports Mole

Jun 25, 2026, 7:00 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Norway Eliteserien Injuries & Suspensions | Injury News - Sportsgambler

Norway Eliteserien Injuries & Suspensions | Injury News    Sportsgambler

Jun 23, 2026, 1:26 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Norway vs France

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Norway vs. France

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

PSG slammed for interfering in France national team affairs following Ousmane Dembele injury - Tribuna.com

Team News: Norway vs. France injury, suspension list, predicted XIs ahead of World Cup clash - Sports Mole

Norway Eliteserien Injuries & Suspensions | Injury News - Sportsgambler

World Cup: Ryerson adds to Dortmund’s injury woes as Haaland sends Norway through - Bulinews

France XI vs Iraq: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup today - Yahoo Sports

Team News: France vs. Iraq injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Team News: Norway vs. Senegal injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Norway lineup vs. Senegal: Predicted XI for World Cup 2026 clash after double injury boost - Sports Mole

Team News: Iraq vs. Norway injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole