Group E · Group stage

Germany vs Ivory Coast

Jun 20, 2026, 8:00 PM · BMO Field, Toronto

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 54%

Germany56.8%

Model baseline 56.8%

Draw22.6%

Model baseline 22.6%

Ivory Coast20.6%

Model baseline 20.6%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewGermany 56.8%Draw 22.6%Ivory Coast 20.6%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Missing

No usable probability returned.

As of: Unavailable
Reliability: 0%
Issue: No matching Polymarket event found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Germany2.01xG Ivory Coast1.14

1-110.4%

2-19.9%

2-08.6%

1-08.0%

3-16.6%

3-05.8%

2-25.6%

1-25.6%

0-04.9%

0-14.3%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 20, 2026, 8:00 PM · BMO Field, Toronto.

Jun 20, 2026, 8:00 PM · reliability 92%

Social

FIFA World Cup 2026, Germany vs Ivory Coast Live Streaming: When And Where To Watch In India - News18

Unverified social/media report: FIFA World Cup 2026, Germany vs Ivory Coast Live Streaming: When And Where To Watch In India    News18

Jun 20, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Injury

Fresh ankle injury forces Schlotterbeck to leave Germany squad - Yahoo Sports

Fresh ankle injury forces Schlotterbeck to leave Germany squad    Yahoo Sports

Sep 30, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Nico Schlotterbeck withdraws from Germany squad after right ankle ligament injury - OneFootball

Nico Schlotterbeck withdraws from Germany squad after right ankle ligament injury    OneFootball

Germany vs Ivory Coast

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Crowd-implied probability signal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

FIFA World Cup 2026, Germany vs Ivory Coast Live Streaming: When And Where To Watch In India - News18

Fresh ankle injury forces Schlotterbeck to leave Germany squad - Yahoo Sports

Nico Schlotterbeck withdraws from Germany squad after right ankle ligament injury - OneFootball

Havertz's injuries leave Germany squad - KOHA.net

Jamal Musiala and Kai Havertz replaced by Florian Wirtz and Jonathan Burkardt in Germany squad after injuries - Bundesliga | official website

Wirtz joins Burkardt in linking up with Germany squad early after Havertz and Musiala injury blows - Bulinews

Musiala Withdraws From Germany Squad After Muscle Injury - TVC News

Ivory Coast vs Ghana lineups: Starting XIs, confirmed team news, injury latest for AFCON qualifier - Yahoo

Ivory Coast vs Ghana lineups: Confirmed team news, predicted XIs, injury latest for AFCON qualifier - AOL.co.uk

Norway XI vs Ivory Coast: HAALAND IN - Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup 2026 today - Yahoo Sports