Group I · Group stage

France vs Iraq

Jun 22, 2026, 9:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 56%

France76.0%

Model baseline 76.0%

Draw15.0%

Model baseline 15.0%

Iraq9.0%

Model baseline 9.0%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewFrance 76.0%Draw 15.0%Iraq 9.0%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Polymarket

Norway vs. France

Fresh

Polymarket outcome pricesFrance60.5%Draw20.5%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 3:10 PM
Reliability: 38%
Issue: Matched Polymarket event, but no complete win/draw/loss moneyline markets were found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG France2.75xG Iraq0.88

2-010.0%

3-09.2%

2-18.8%

3-18.1%

1-06.9%

1-16.8%

4-06.3%

4-15.6%

2-23.9%

3-23.6%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 22, 2026, 9:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia.

Jun 22, 2026, 9:00 PM · reliability 92%

Social

France vs. Iraq odds, prediction, time: 2026 World Cup picks from expert on 21-10 run - CBS Sports

Unverified social/media report: France vs. Iraq odds, prediction, time: 2026 World Cup picks from expert on 21-10 run    CBS Sports

Jun 22, 2026, 7:00 PM · reliability 38%

Social

PSG slammed for interfering in France national team affairs following Ousmane Dembele injury - Tribuna.com

Unverified social/media report: PSG slammed for interfering in France national team affairs following Ousmane Dembele injury    Tribuna.com

Sep 9, 2025, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Injury

Team News: Norway vs. France injury, suspension list, predicted XIs ahead of World Cup clash - Sports Mole

Team News: Norway vs. France injury, suspension list, predicted XIs ahead of World Cup clash    Sports Mole