Group L · Group stage

England vs Ghana

Jun 23, 2026, 8:00 PM · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 58%

England66.0%

Model baseline 66.0%

Draw19.3%

Model baseline 19.3%

Ghana14.7%

Model baseline 14.7%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewEngland 66.0%Draw 19.3%Ghana 14.7%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Polymarket

Panama vs. England

Fresh

Polymarket outcome pricesEngland84.5%Draw10.5%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 2:56 PM
Reliability: 38%
Issue: Matched Polymarket event, but no complete win/draw/loss moneyline markets were found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG England2.34xG Ghana1.03

2-19.7%

2-09.4%

1-18.8%

3-17.6%

1-07.6%

3-07.3%

2-25.0%

4-14.4%

4-04.3%

1-24.3%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 23, 2026, 8:00 PM · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough.

Jun 23, 2026, 8:00 PM · reliability 92%

Social

England’s Spence appears to refuse handshake with booed Ghana player Partey - Al Jazeera

Unverified social/media report: England’s Spence appears to refuse handshake with booed Ghana player Partey    Al Jazeera

Jun 24, 2026, 1:24 AM · reliability 38%

Injury

England XI vs Panama: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup, injury latest for World Cup - London Evening Standard

England XI vs Panama: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup, injury latest for World Cup    London Evening Standard

Jun 26, 2026, 12:48 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

World Cup 2026: Reece James and Declan Rice injury concerns for England before Panama game - BBC

World Cup 2026: Reece James and Declan Rice injury concerns for England before Panama game    BBC

Jun 25, 2026, 9:19 PM · reliability 66%