Group L · Group stage

England vs Croatia

Jun 17, 2026, 8:00 PM · AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 50%

England38.5%

Model baseline 38.5%

Draw25.7%

Model baseline 25.7%

Croatia35.8%

Model baseline 35.8%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewEngland 38.5%Draw 25.7%Croatia 35.8%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Polymarket

Panama vs. England

Fresh

Polymarket outcome pricesEngland84.5%Draw10.5%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 2:55 PM
Reliability: 38%
Issue: Matched Polymarket event, but no complete win/draw/loss moneyline markets were found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG England1.53xG Croatia1.47

1-111.9%

2-18.6%

1-28.2%

1-07.0%

0-16.7%

2-26.3%

2-05.8%

0-05.7%

0-25.4%

3-14.4%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 17, 2026, 8:00 PM · AT&T Stadium, Arlington.

Jun 17, 2026, 8:00 PM · reliability 92%

Injury

England XI vs Panama: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup, injury latest for World Cup - London Evening Standard

England XI vs Panama: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup, injury latest for World Cup    London Evening Standard

Jun 26, 2026, 12:48 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Why is Bukayo Saka not in the England lineup vs Ghana? Latest World Cup injury news - Pain in the Arsenal

Why is Bukayo Saka not in the England lineup vs Ghana? Latest World Cup injury news    Pain in the Arsenal

Jun 23, 2026, 6:12 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

England vs Ghana team news: Predicted World Cup starting XI, injury updates and squad in full - FourFourTwo

England vs Ghana team news: Predicted World Cup starting XI, injury updates and squad in full    FourFourTwo

Jun 23, 2026, 2:34 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

England vs Croatia

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Panama vs. England

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

England XI vs Panama: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup, injury latest for World Cup - London Evening Standard

Why is Bukayo Saka not in the England lineup vs Ghana? Latest World Cup injury news - Pain in the Arsenal

England vs Ghana team news: Predicted World Cup starting XI, injury updates and squad in full - FourFourTwo

No injury problems for England and Saka no longer in pain, Tuchel says - NST Online

Team News: Panama vs. Croatia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Croatia lineup vs. Panama: Predicted XI for World Cup 2026 Group L game as Luka Vuskovic doubt emerges - Sports Mole

England injury suspension list and return dates for Ghana World Cup clash: Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka latest - Sports Mole

World Cup 2026: Tino Livramento suffers calf injury and replaced by Trevoh Chalobah in England squad - Sky Sports

England vs. Croatia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole