Group L · Group stage

Croatia vs Ghana

Jun 27, 2026, 9:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 69%

Croatia64.5%

Model baseline 69.3%

Draw21.8%

Model baseline 18.2%

Ghana13.8%

Model baseline 12.5%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewCroatia 64.5%Draw 21.8%Ghana 13.8%

Market-implied viewCroatia 54.2%Draw 29.4%Ghana 16.4%

Polymarket

Croatia vs. Ghana

Fresh

Market-implied viewCroatia 54.2%Draw 29.4%Ghana 16.4%

Polymarket outcome pricesCroatia54.5%Draw29.5%Ghana16.5%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 3:13 PM
Reliability: 82%
Issue: Multiple Polymarket events matched; selected the highest-scoring match event.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Croatia2.42xG Ghana0.95

1-110.1%

2-09.4%

2-18.9%

3-07.6%

1-07.3%

3-17.2%

2-25.4%

0-04.7%

4-04.6%

4-14.3%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 27, 2026, 9:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia.

Jun 27, 2026, 9:00 PM · reliability 92%

Injury

Why is Bukayo Saka not in the England lineup vs Ghana? Latest World Cup injury news - Pain in the Arsenal

Why is Bukayo Saka not in the England lineup vs Ghana? Latest World Cup injury news    Pain in the Arsenal

Jun 23, 2026, 6:12 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

England vs Ghana team news: Predicted World Cup starting XI, injury updates and squad in full - FourFourTwo

England vs Ghana team news: Predicted World Cup starting XI, injury updates and squad in full    FourFourTwo

Jun 23, 2026, 2:34 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Team News: Panama vs. Croatia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Team News: Panama vs. Croatia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026    Sports Mole

Jun 22, 2026, 11:00 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Croatia vs Ghana

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Croatia vs. Ghana

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Why is Bukayo Saka not in the England lineup vs Ghana? Latest World Cup injury news - Pain in the Arsenal

England vs Ghana team news: Predicted World Cup starting XI, injury updates and squad in full - FourFourTwo

Team News: Panama vs. Croatia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

England vs. Ghana: Thomas Tuchel receives major injury boost as World Cup 2026 star could make Group L lineup - Sports Mole

Croatia lineup vs. Panama: Predicted XI for World Cup 2026 Group L game as Luka Vuskovic doubt emerges - Sports Mole

England injury suspension list and return dates for Ghana World Cup clash: Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka latest - Sports Mole

Ghana XI vs Panama: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup and injury latest for World Cup 2026 - London Evening Standard

Team News: Ghana vs. Panama injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

England vs. Croatia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole