Group K · Group stage

Colombia vs Portugal

Jun 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 62%

Colombia29.9%

Model baseline 33.3%

Draw25.3%

Model baseline 25.5%

Portugal44.8%

Model baseline 41.2%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewColombia 29.9%Draw 25.3%Portugal 44.8%

Market-implied viewColombia 22.8%Draw 24.9%Portugal 52.3%

Polymarket

Colombia vs. Portugal

Fresh

Market-implied viewColombia 22.8%Draw 24.9%Portugal 52.3%

Polymarket outcome pricesColombia22.5%Draw24.5%Portugal51.5%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 3:22 PM
Reliability: 82%
Issue: Multiple Polymarket events matched; selected the highest-scoring match event.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Colombia1.41xG Portugal1.59

1-111.7%

1-29.6%

0-17.8%

2-17.1%

0-26.8%

2-26.2%

1-05.7%

0-05.6%

1-35.1%

2-04.4%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens.

Jun 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · reliability 92%

Injury

Colombia lineup vs. Portugal: Predicted XI for 2026 World Cup contest including major fitness boost - Sports Mole

Colombia lineup vs. Portugal: Predicted XI for 2026 World Cup contest including major fitness boost    Sports Mole

Jun 25, 2026, 7:37 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Portugal XI vs Uzbekistan: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup 2026 today - Yahoo Sports

Portugal XI vs Uzbekistan: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup 2026 today    Yahoo Sports

Jun 23, 2026, 3:48 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Team News: Colombia vs. Congo DR injury, suspension lists, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Team News: Colombia vs. Congo DR injury, suspension lists, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026    Sports Mole

Jun 23, 2026, 2:00 AM · reliability 66%

Colombia vs Portugal

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Colombia vs. Portugal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Colombia lineup vs. Portugal: Predicted XI for 2026 World Cup contest including major fitness boost - Sports Mole

Portugal XI vs Uzbekistan: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup 2026 today - Yahoo Sports

Team News: Colombia vs. Congo DR injury, suspension lists, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Team News: Portugal vs. Uzbekistan injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Portugal XI vs Uzbekistan: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup and injury latest for World Cup 2026 - London Evening Standard

Juan Cuadrado Misses Colombia World Cup Roster Amid Injury Troubles - HarianBasis.co

Team News: Uzbekistan vs Colombia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs - Sports Mole

Portugal vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup 2026: Date, Time, Squads, Preview, Injury News And All You Need to Know - The Sunday Guardian