Group K · Group stage

Colombia vs DR Congo

Jun 24, 2026, 2:00 AM · Estadio Akron, Zapopan

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 59%

Colombia65.1%

Model baseline 65.1%

Draw19.7%

Model baseline 19.7%

DR Congo15.2%

Model baseline 15.2%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewColombia 65.1%Draw 19.7%DR Congo 15.2%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Polymarket

Colombia vs. Portugal

Fresh

Polymarket outcome pricesColombia51.5%Draw24.5%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 2:59 PM
Reliability: 38%
Issue: Matched Polymarket event, but no complete win/draw/loss moneyline markets were found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Colombia2.30xG DR Congo1.04

2-19.8%

2-09.4%

1-19.0%

1-07.6%

3-17.5%

3-07.2%

2-25.1%

1-24.4%

4-14.3%

4-04.1%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 24, 2026, 2:00 AM · Estadio Akron, Zapopan.

Jun 24, 2026, 2:00 AM · reliability 92%

Injury

Colombia 1 DR Congo 0: Messi vs Ronaldo clash in doubt as South Americans threaten to top World Cup group - The Sun

Colombia 1 DR Congo 0: Messi vs Ronaldo clash in doubt as South Americans threaten to top World Cup group    The Sun

Jun 24, 2026, 4:16 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Team News: Colombia vs. Congo DR injury, suspension lists, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Team News: Colombia vs. Congo DR injury, suspension lists, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026    Sports Mole

Jun 23, 2026, 2:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Juan Cuadrado Misses Colombia World Cup Roster Amid Injury Troubles - HarianBasis.co

Juan Cuadrado Misses Colombia World Cup Roster Amid Injury Troubles    HarianBasis.co

Jun 18, 2026, 3:05 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Team News: Uzbekistan vs Colombia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs - Sports Mole

Team News: Uzbekistan vs Colombia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs    Sports Mole

Colombia vs DR Congo

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Colombia vs. Portugal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Colombia 1 DR Congo 0: Messi vs Ronaldo clash in doubt as South Americans threaten to top World Cup group - The Sun

Team News: Colombia vs. Congo DR injury, suspension lists, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Juan Cuadrado Misses Colombia World Cup Roster Amid Injury Troubles - HarianBasis.co

Team News: Uzbekistan vs Colombia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs - Sports Mole

Portugal XI vs DR Congo: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup 2026 today - Yahoo Sports Australia

Portugal vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup 2026: Date, Time, Squads, Preview, Injury News And All You Need to Know - The Sunday Guardian

Portugal XI vs DR Congo: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup 2026 today - inkl

USWNT vs. Colombia Lineups, Injuries, Predictions, Head-to-Head Stats & SheBelieves Cup Results - Athlon Sports