Group C · Group stage

Brazil vs Haiti

Jun 20, 2026, 1:00 AM · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 60%

Brazil77.5%

Model baseline 77.5%

Draw14.1%

Model baseline 14.1%

Haiti8.4%

Model baseline 8.4%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewBrazil 77.5%Draw 14.1%Haiti 8.4%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election

Fresh

Polymarket outcome pricesBrazil0.1%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 2:58 PM
Reliability: 38%
Issue: Matched Polymarket event, but no complete win/draw/loss moneyline markets were found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Brazil2.87xG Haiti0.89

2-09.6%

3-09.2%

2-18.6%

3-18.2%

4-06.6%

1-06.4%

1-16.3%

4-15.9%

2-23.8%

5-03.8%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 20, 2026, 1:00 AM · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough.

Jun 20, 2026, 1:00 AM · reliability 92%

Injury

Brazil Alters Lineup for Scotland Match Amid Raphinha Injury - Akses.co.id

Brazil Alters Lineup for Scotland Match Amid Raphinha Injury    Akses.co.id

Jun 24, 2026, 10:50 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Rayan replaces injured Raphinha for Brazil against Scotland - Reuters

Rayan replaces injured Raphinha for Brazil against Scotland    Reuters

Jun 24, 2026, 9:14 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Raphinha injury deals Brazil a major World Cup setback - Karlobag.eu

Raphinha injury deals Brazil a major World Cup setback    Karlobag.eu

Jun 24, 2026, 3:49 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Scotland XI vs Brazil: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup and injury latest for World Cup 2026 - London Evening Standard

Scotland XI vs Brazil: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup and injury latest for World Cup 2026    London Evening Standard

Brazil vs Haiti

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Brazil Presidential Election

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Brazil Alters Lineup for Scotland Match Amid Raphinha Injury - Akses.co.id

Rayan replaces injured Raphinha for Brazil against Scotland - Reuters

Raphinha injury deals Brazil a major World Cup setback - Karlobag.eu

Scotland XI vs Brazil: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup and injury latest for World Cup 2026 - London Evening Standard

Team News: Morocco vs. Haiti injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Team News: Scotland vs. Brazil injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Brazil XI vs Scotland: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup and injury latest for World Cup 2026 - London Evening Standard

Raphinha receives good news after Brazil star undergoes scans on injury in wake of Haiti win - Goal.com

Raphinha forced off injured mid-game as Brazil dominates Haiti in World Cup clash - SportsTak