Group C · Group stage

Brazil vs Haiti

Jun 20, 2026, 1:00 AM · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 59%

Brazil77.1%

Model baseline 77.1%

Draw14.3%

Model baseline 14.3%

Haiti8.6%

Model baseline 8.6%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewBrazil 77.1%Draw 14.3%Haiti 8.6%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Fresh

Crowd-implied outcomesBrazil0.1%

As of: Aug 27, 2026, 7:03 PM
Reliability: 38%
Issue: Matched Polymarket event, but no complete win/draw/loss moneyline markets were found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Brazil2.84xG Haiti0.89

2-09.7%

3-09.2%

2-18.6%

3-18.2%

4-06.5%

1-06.5%

1-16.4%

4-15.8%

2-23.8%

5-03.7%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 20, 2026, 1:00 AM · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough.

Jun 20, 2026, 1:00 AM · reliability 92%

Social

Rumors of Haiti’s World Cup team coach leaving untrue, FHF official says - The Haitian Times

Unverified social/media report: Rumors of Haiti’s World Cup team coach leaving untrue, FHF official says    The Haitian Times

Jun 29, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Injury

Brazil vs Norway team news, injuries and predicted lineups - Squawka

Brazil vs Norway team news, injuries and predicted lineups    Squawka

Jul 5, 2026, 10:21 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Is Neymar playing today for Brazil? Injuries open the door for possible start vs. Norway - FanSided

Is Neymar playing today for Brazil? Injuries open the door for possible start vs. Norway    FanSided

Jul 5, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Brazil projected 11 vs. Norway with Raphinha and Paqueta ruled out - USA Today

Brazil projected 11 vs. Norway with Raphinha and Paqueta ruled out    USA Today

Brazil vs Haiti

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Crowd-implied probability signal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Rumors of Haiti’s World Cup team coach leaving untrue, FHF official says - The Haitian Times

Brazil vs Norway team news, injuries and predicted lineups - Squawka

Is Neymar playing today for Brazil? Injuries open the door for possible start vs. Norway - FanSided

Brazil projected 11 vs. Norway with Raphinha and Paqueta ruled out - USA Today

Team News: Brazil vs. Norway injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Brazil lineup vs. Norway: Predicted XI for World Cup 2026 clash after Casemiro injury scare and Lucas Paqueta blow - Sports Mole

Brazil Injury Update: Lucas Paqueta Suffers Thigh Injury, Will Neymar Start vs Norway in FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 16? Check Selecao Likely Lineup - The Sunday Guardian

Brazil Lineup vs. Japan: Neymar Injury Gets Major Carlo Ancelotti Update - AOL.com

Brazil Lineup vs. Japan: Neymar Injury Gets Major Carlo Ancelotti Update - Athlon Sports

Team News: Brazil vs. Japan injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole