Group B · Group stage

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar

Jun 24, 2026, 7:00 PM · Lumen Field, Seattle

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Medium confidence · 49%

Bosnia and Herzegovina31.4%

Model baseline 31.4%

Draw26.2%

Model baseline 26.2%

Qatar42.3%

Model baseline 42.3%

Market Sources

Third-party probability inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewBosnia and Herzegovina 31.4%Draw 26.2%Qatar 42.3%

Market-implied probabilities are currently unavailable; model output is shown with source-gap context.

Crowd-implied signal

Crowd-implied probability signal

Missing

No usable probability returned.

As of: Unavailable
Reliability: 0%
Issue: No matching Polymarket event found.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Bosnia and Herzegovina1.30xG Qatar1.54

1-112.4%

1-29.0%

0-18.3%

2-17.6%

0-26.9%

1-06.9%

0-06.5%

2-25.9%

2-04.9%

1-34.6%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 24, 2026, 7:00 PM · Lumen Field, Seattle.

Jun 24, 2026, 7:00 PM · reliability 92%

Social

Who are Bosnia and Herzegovina? Cheat sheet, analysis on the USMNT's Round of 32 foe at the World Cup - NBC Sports

Unverified social/media report: Who are Bosnia and Herzegovina? Cheat sheet, analysis on the USMNT's Round of 32 foe at the World Cup    NBC Sports

Jun 28, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 38%

Injury

Team News: Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar injury, suspension list, predicted XIs - Sports Mole

Team News: Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar injury, suspension list, predicted XIs    Sports Mole

Jun 23, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Canada rout nine-man Qatar but Koné injury sours first-ever World Cup win - The Guardian

Canada rout nine-man Qatar but Koné injury sours first-ever World Cup win    The Guardian

Jun 19, 2026, 7:00 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Crowd-implied probability signal

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Who are Bosnia and Herzegovina? Cheat sheet, analysis on the USMNT's Round of 32 foe at the World Cup - NBC Sports

Team News: Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar injury, suspension list, predicted XIs - Sports Mole

Canada rout nine-man Qatar but Koné injury sours first-ever World Cup win - The Guardian

Ismael Kone suffers horrific injury, fight erupts after Canada-Qatar match: David nets hat-trick; SA score ... - Bhaskar English

Gruesome injury to Ismaël Koné in victory over Qatar dampens Canadian men's joy of historic 1st World Cup win - CBC

Canada stomps Qatar behind Jonathan David hat trick, horrific injury stops play - USA Today

Canada star Ismael Kone suffers horrifying leg injury in World Cup vs. Qatar - USA Today

The Harrowing Injury Suffered by Ismael Kone in Canada vs Qatar at the FIFA World Cup 2026 - beIN SPORTS