Group J · Group stage

Algeria vs Austria

Jun 28, 2026, 2:00 AM · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

Low confidence · 47%

Algeria29.3%

Model baseline 31.2%

Draw30.1%

Model baseline 25.7%

Austria40.7%

Model baseline 43.1%

Market Sources

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewAlgeria 29.3%Draw 30.1%Austria 40.7%

Market-implied viewAlgeria 23.2%Draw 43.8%Austria 33.0%

Polymarket

Algeria vs. Austria

Fresh

Market-implied viewAlgeria 23.2%Draw 43.8%Austria 33.0%

Polymarket outcome pricesAlgeria23.5%Draw44.5%Austria33.5%

As of: Jun 26, 2026, 2:52 PM
Reliability: 82%
Issue: Multiple Polymarket events matched; selected the highest-scoring match event.

Correct-Score Distribution

Top scoreline probabilities from the normalized score matrix.

xG Algeria1.33xG Austria1.60

1-114.1%

1-28.6%

0-17.4%

2-17.1%

2-27.1%

0-07.0%

0-26.4%

1-06.0%

1-34.6%

2-04.4%

Evidence Summary

Timestamped context used by the analysis engine.

Official

Group stage · Jun 28, 2026, 2:00 AM · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.

Jun 28, 2026, 2:00 AM · reliability 92%

Social

Argentina Vs Algeria LIVE: FIFA World Cup 2026 LIVE | Live Football Match | Messi Vs Mahrez LIVE Mike Trout Trade Rumors 2026 (WO0fdJbZUl) - Fathom Journal

Unverified social/media report: Argentina Vs Algeria LIVE: FIFA World Cup 2026 LIVE | Live Football Match | Messi Vs Mahrez LIVE Mike Trout Trade Rumors 2026 (WO0fdJbZUl)    Fathom Journal

Jun 25, 2026, 4:46 PM · reliability 38%

Injury

Argentina XI vs Austria: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup today - Yahoo Sports Canada

Argentina XI vs Austria: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup today    Yahoo Sports Canada

Jun 22, 2026, 3:47 PM · reliability 66%

Injury

Team News: Jordan vs. Algeria injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Team News: Jordan vs. Algeria injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026    Sports Mole

Jun 22, 2026, 9:02 AM · reliability 66%

Injury

Algeria vs Austria

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Market Sources

Algeria vs. Austria

Correct-Score Distribution

Evidence Summary

Official

Argentina Vs Algeria LIVE: FIFA World Cup 2026 LIVE | Live Football Match | Messi Vs Mahrez LIVE Mike Trout Trade Rumors 2026 (WO0fdJbZUl) - Fathom Journal

Argentina XI vs Austria: Starting lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup today - Yahoo Sports Canada

Team News: Jordan vs. Algeria injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

World Cup 2026: Scaloni set to ring changes for Austria despite Algeria masterclass as injuries create fresh headaches - Sports Mole

Team News: Argentina vs. Austria injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole

Argentina’s Gonzalo Montiel Ruled Out for World Cup Match Against Austria Due to Injury - خبر صح

Argentina XI vs Algeria: Predicted lineup, confirmed team news, injury latest for World Cup today - London Evening Standard